New polls show Kamala Harris’ odds of winning North Carolina

Polls suggest a race between Kamala Harris And Donald Trump in North Carolina, it’s still too close to call with less than a week until Election Day.

Forecasters and poll aggregators say Trump has a slight lead over the Tar Heel State vice president. republican narrowly won North Carolina in the 2016 and 2020 elections.

Harris and Trump will campaign in North Carolina on Wednesday as presidential candidates seek to attract voters in the key state of the battlefield. Both Trump and Harris could reach 270 Electoral College votes in the November election by winning the three swing states of North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Georgia, barring any shock results elsewhere.

Newsweek has reached out to the Trump and Harris campaign teams for comment via email.

An AtlasIntel poll of 1,665 likely voters in North Carolina showed Harris leading Trump by 0.5 points (48.9 percent to 48.4 percent) in the head-to-head race. On an expanded ballot that includes Green Party candidate Jill Stein and Libertarian Party candidate Chase Oliver, the pair are nearly tied at 48 percent.

The poll was conducted from October 25 to 29 and the results have a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.

The Trafalgar Group poll showed Trump leading Harris by 3 points in North Carolina, 49 percent to 46 percent. The poll of 1,091 likely voters was conducted Oct. 25-28 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.9 percent.

A Redfield & Wilton Strategies poll shows Trump leading in North Carolina, 48 percent to Harris’ 46 percent. The poll of 770 likely voters was conducted Oct. 25-27, with a margin of error of 3.2 percentage points on either side.

The polling team emphasized that in each of the seven major swing states it examined, Trump and Harris polls were either in line or within the margin of error.

Poll aggregators and forecasters indicate Trump’s polling average is slightly ahead of Harris in North Carolina.

Trump is averaging a 1-point lead over Harris in the battleground state as of Wednesday, according to 538.

Questionnaire Nate Silverwho founded 538 and now uses a similar forecasting model for his Silver Bulletin blog, says Trump leads Harris in North Carolina by an average of 1.1 points.

Decision Desk HQ/The Hill shows Trump leading the vice president by an average of 1.4 points.

A forecasting model developed by Decision Desk HQ/The Hill also gives Trump a 54 percent chance of winning the election (65 percent in North Carolina) in the Nov. 5 election, but the overall race remains indecisive.