College football picks vs. spread for Week 10 games

Ahead of another intriguing weekend of college football in Week 10, let’s make some final predictions regarding the spread for the biggest games across the country.

How are we doing? College Football HQ went 7-3 against the spread this past weekend, leaving our overall record for the 2024 season at 41-39.

We correctly predicted Notre Dame would beat Navy and Oklahoma would stay close to Ole Miss.

But we were puzzled by LSU’s recent collapse at Texas A&M and didn’t predict how close Nebraska would keep it relative to Ohio State.

For better or worse, here are the picks we’re making against the breakdown of college football’s biggest games on the Week 10 schedule.

Lines are provided by FanDuel Sportsbook and are subject to change.

Duke in Miami

ATS Pick: Duke +20.5 | Playing a top-10 defense and staying within 10 points or fewer in every Power Four game should allow Duke to challenge the Hurricanes well, even on the road and behind a front line that could generate enough negative plays to keep Cam Ward out get everything he wants.

SI chooses: Miami by 17

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Kentucky and Tennessee

ATS Picks: Tennessee -17.5 | A couple of ineffective offenses on the same field will keep it close to start, but Kentucky’s offense is simply not there no matter who throws the ball, especially against UT’s strong front seven, while the Vols have a ground game and some deep shots. It’s too late to break away from your young quarterback.

SI chooses: Tennessee by 20

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Texas Tech at Iowa State

ATS Pick: Iowa State -13.5 | Tech should have its quarterback on the field after the injury scare, but the Red Raiders are one of the worst defenses in college football in terms of plays (112th of 134) and are on the road against a Cyclones offense that ranks in the top 40 in national ranking. in this category.

SI chooses: Iowa State for 14 years

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Ole Miss in Arkansas

ATS Pick: Arkansas +7.5 | Ole Miss has been shut out in 3 of its last 4 games and is 1-3 against the spread in SEC games, countering the balanced Razorback offense at home that beat Tennessee. Arkansas is 4-1 ATS as an underdog and competes in SEC competition.

SI chooses: Ole Miss at 7

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Louisville at Clemson

ATS Pick: Louisville +10.5 | While the Cardinals are 0-2 against the spread as an underdog and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games, those results have been close, by 10 or less in their last five games, and have shown that they can move the ball in the shootout against Miami.

SI chooses: Clemson at 10

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Pittsburgh at SMU

ATS Pick: Pittsburgh +7.5 | Pitt’s defense has found its groove, returning 3 Syracuse picks for a TD last week, and the Mustangs have been prone to turnovers lately, but SMU has a strong ground game that could take control at home in a battle of newfound contenders. ACC title.

SI chooses: SMU on 3

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Texas A&M at South Carolina

ATS Pick: Texas A&M -3.5 | There are a lot of questions about the consistency of the Aggies’ offense due to a subpar vertical attack, and the Gamecocks will bring some serious punch from their front seven, but otherwise Carolina is 108th in passing and 115th in yards per game.

SI chooses: Texas A&M at 6

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Oregon and Michigan

ATS Pick: Oregon -14.5 | It seems wrong to consider Michigan to be down by more than 2 touchdowns at home given the relative durability of its defense, but it becomes easier to remember how smart Oregon was against Ohio State’s secondary, the Wolverines’ dismal vertical play, and the Ducks’ increasingly confident play. play both lines.

SI chooses: Oregon by 17

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Georgia vs Florida

ATS selection: Georgia -14.5 | Georgia is 1-4 against the spread against SEC teams, 1-5 ATS as a favorite and 0-4 ATS as a 16+ favorite, and if that line stayed at 16.5 we could pick the Gators to take glasses. , but the Bulldogs’ defense should alarm Florida’s freshman cornerback enough to make him break away late.

SI chooses: Georgia for 16 years

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Ohio State in Pennsylvania

ATS Pick: Ohio State -3.5 | There is real concern about the Buckeyes’ offensive line, which lost its star left tackle against a stout Penn State front seven that will be aggressive and create negative plays. But there is enough skill difference between Ohio State’s wide receivers and the Nittany Lions’ seven defensive backs to make the latter quite vulnerable.

SI chooses: Ohio State at 6

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Game odds are updated periodically and are subject to change.

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