Latest Polls on Harris vs. Trump – Carswellfamilyfoundation

Election Day only three days left and presidential election polls continue to suggest a tight race between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris.

National polls provide insight into a country’s voters, and some recent polls have found that Trump may have taken the lead. Meanwhile, an exclusive USA TODAY/Suffolk poll on Friday found: Harris and Trump tied in Pennsylvania, the swing state with the most electoral votes. But Electoral college system means the race is likely to be decided seven states of the battlefield.

Both Harris and Trump will appear on Saturday at events in North Carolina – one of those oscillating states. Trump has scheduled appearances in Charlotte and Greensboro, as well as Salem, Virginia. Before the Charlotte event, Harris will appear at an afternoon rally in Atlanta, also a swing state.

Here are the latest polls showing where the race stands.

Latest Washington Post poll: Harris and Trump neck and neck in Pennsylvania

Harris leads Trump by one percentage point in new ratings Washington Post poll potential voters and registered voters in Pennsylvania, another swing state. In the poll released Friday, Harris has 48% among both likely and registered voters and Trump has 47% (a statistical tie with a margin of error of ±3.1 percentage points).

The poll of 1,204 registered voters, conducted Oct. 26-30, also gave respondents the option of choosing a third-party candidate.

The new poll also found high voter enthusiasm among both parties in the state, which is critical to each candidate’s path to victory. Twenty percent of respondents said they had already voted, and another 73% said they were certain to vote, “which is 94 percent of voters after percentages are rounded,” the Post reported.

Harris leads Trump nationwide and in swing states, according to Forbes/HarrisX poll

Harris leads Trump 49% to 48% among likely voters nationwide and has a similarly narrow lead in seven battleground states, according to the survey. HarrisX/Forbes Poll released Thursday.

The poll of 4,523 registered voters and 3,718 likely voters (910 in battleground states) was conducted Oct. 27-29 (margin of error: ±1.5 percentage points).

Harris’ lead in battleground states fell from HarrisX/Forbes Poll released a week early; at that point, Harris had a 50% to 46% lead. Some voters are still undecided, with 10% of likely voters and 16% of all registered voters still weighing their choice, the latest poll showed.

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Detroit Free Press Poll: Harris in Michigan

Harris leads Trump in Michigan in new Detroit Free Press the survey was released on Friday. The poll of 600 likely voters polled Oct. 24-28 showed Harris leading 48% to 45%, with a margin of error of ±4 points. The Detroit Free Press is part of the USA TODAY Network.

An interesting finding in the survey: The number of respondents who were undecided was less than 1%, which pollster Bernie Porn of EPIC-MRA, the Lansing, Michigan-based research firm that conducted the poll, said he’s not sure he saw. earlier. . “This is no ordinary election,” he said.

Trump leads in Florida, latest Stetson poll shows

Trump leads Harris in Florida in new Stetson University Opinion Research Center Pollreleased on Friday. Poll of 452 likely voters conducted Oct. 25-Nov. 1 showed Trump leading 53% to 46% for Harris, with a margin of error of ±5%.

That’s a margin higher than the 51.2% of the state’s vote that Trump received in the election. 2020 presidential election and 49% of votes in 2016 elections.

MassINC Poll: Harris succeeds in Massachusetts

In blue Massachusetts, Harris appears to be receiving the same support that President Joe Biden and candidate Hillary Clinton received from voters in the 2020 and 2016 elections, suggests MassINC Survey GroupThe latest Massachusetts voter survey released Friday.

Harris leads Trump 61% to 31% in the poll, according to the Oct. 29-Nov. 1 poll of 582 likely voters in Massachusetts (margin of error ±4.9 percentage points. In the 2020 election, President Joe Biden received 65.9% of the state’s vote, up from 32.1%. In the 2016 election, Clinton received 61% of the vote in Massachusetts ). Trump 33.3%.

Note about voting

Measurement error measures how accurately we can expect survey results to be representative of the entire population.

According to the theory, when a candidate’s advantage is “within” the margin of error, it is considered a “statistical tie.” Pew Research Center.

Pugh also has found that most pollsters changed their methods after the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, in which Trump’s performance was significantly underestimated.

Contributing: Kinsey Crowley, Savannah Kuchar and Sam Woodward, USA TODAY; and Reuters.

Follow Mike Snyder on X and Threads: @mikesnider & Mikegsnyder.

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