Trump, Harris face persistent gender gap on Election Day – NBC10 Philadelphia

Notices on toilet stalls. Celebrities on the way. And Vice President Kamala Harris’ supporters are pushing for Republican women to be able to secretly vote, while Liz Cheney says women will “save the day.”

For the second time in a decade, a Democratic woman is taking on Donald Trump in the presidential race. Once again, the former president faces a persistent gender gap. It’s unusual for both Republican and Democratic presidential campaigns to target the same group of voters, but as the race narrows, both Harris and Trump have found themselves doing everything they can to mobilize women.

Heading into Election Day, female voters are much more likely to say they support Harris. with some polls showing that the vice president has a double-digit lead. In an unusual survey Harris led Trump in Iowa, a state he won in 2016 and again in 2020, according to J. Ann Seltzer for the Des Moines Register. The shift is driven in part by female voters age 65 and older, who favor Harris by a two-to-one margin, according to the poll, which does not reveal how it varies by party.

“Harris is showing a clear advantage among women, the question for tomorrow is whether this will be a historic event for the Democratic candidate,” said JL Partners pollster Scarlett Maguire. “Indeed, we found that among undecided voters, the biggest hesitation to vote for Trump stemmed from concerns about what conservative influence on his agenda would mean for women’s rights.”

Meanwhile, polls show Trump has gained a solid lead among men. He in particular sought to attract young male voters by appearing on the popular All-in podcast and others hosted by Joe Rogan; Nelk Boys; MIT computer scientist Lex Friedman; and others.

Republican pollster Kellyanne Conway has a name for the phenomenon, which goes both ways: “It’s the double gender gap.”

The gender gap is large among both younger and older voters. A combination of three recent NBC News polls conducted in July, September and October found that Gen Z men support Trump over Harris by 10 points (51% to 41%), while Gen Z women support Harris by more than by 40 points. from 68% to 26%). According to the same polls, boomer men supported Trump over Harris 57% to 39%, while boomer women chose Harris 52% to 43%.

It’s not that Trump ignored women voters. During the campaign, the former president promised to be a “champion” for women, saying he would save them from loneliness, danger and anxiety “from all the problems” facing the nation today.

Asked about his message to women voters who might be thinking about voting for Harris, Trump told NBC News over the weekend that voting for Harris would spell economic disaster, responding: “You’re voting for the wrong man and we’ll end this.” You’ll get depressed and you won’t be safe.”

The Trump campaign is reaching out to women voters in the final days of the race with events featuring Lara Trump, his daughter-in-law and co-chair of the Republican National Committee; former NASCAR driver Danica Patrick; South Dakota Governor Kristi Noem; Morgan Ortagus, a former senior official in the first Trump administration, and others. Trump invited Lara Trump and his daughter Tiffany to the stage on Monday ahead of Election Day.

His campaign also had included on a list of former campaign enemies and rivals, and Megyn Kelly announced Monday that she would appear at a rally in Pittsburgh to let Trump explain why is she voting for hima call that came after Kelly expressed concern that his campaign was not reaching enough female voters. In an article published this afternoon in the Wall Street Journal, Nikki Haley calls Americans who, like her, may not “agree with Mr. Trump 100%” most of the time should vote for him over Harris, with whom she disagrees “almost all the time.” Trump and Haley have not appeared together on the campaign trail in recent weeks, despite much speculation.

In their closing statements, Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump ended Tuesday’s debate with different messages about America’s future.

It comes like Trump deviated from the message from time to time How he storms country in the final days of the campaign and attacked his political opponents, including Cheney, whom he called a “radical war hawk” – and a chicken hawk – during rally last weekwondering how a former Republican would feel on the front lines of a war.

Final National NBC News Poll Results how even a small change in turnout can lead to different results for each party.

Survey shows Harris receiving the support of 49% of registered voters, while Trump receives the same 49%. Only 2% of voters say they are undecided. The poll, conducted from October 30 to November 2, showed women supporting Harris by 16 percentage points (57%-41%) and men supporting Trump by 18 points (58%-40%).

Other results, based on slightly different turnout scenarios, offer a different picture of what the election results might be. In conditions somewhat more favorable to Republicans—with more men turning out to vote, as well as white and non-college-educated voters—Trump gains an edge over Harris.

Slight increases in turnout among women voters, college-educated white voters and voters of color produce results that put Harris ahead of Trump.

The Trump campaign points to partisan turnout as evidence that he is gaining an advantage from early voting. IN memo The campaign’s release Monday cited data from veteran Democratic political strategist Tom Bonier to argue that the number of female voters has declined.

Comparing 2024 and 2020 is difficult because Covid distorted many voter practices in the previous contest, and Trump actively discouraged mail-in voting more than he did this time around.

Asked by NBC News why they think the gender gap is emerging, two Arizona voters, one Democrat and one Republican, suggested it comes down to the abortion rights enshrined in Roe v. Wade, which Harris vowed to restore from the start. . her campaign days.

“She exists because a lot of men don’t even think about who brought them into this world,” said Lala Johnson, a broadcast assistant who supports Harris.

“Well, reproductive rights has a lot to do with it, but I really don’t know,” said Ned McCarthy, 70, a Trump supporter.

The gender gap is not new. Since 1980, almost every presidential election saw the splitwhich has shown Democrats winning among women voters in recent decades. This was the case in 2016, when Hillary Clinton led by double digits among women, and in 2020, when President Joe Biden also won among women voters.

A Democratic Party official said that if women vote, Harris will lose the race. As of Monday afternoon, women made up 53% of the roughly 77 million people who had voted early or by mail. According to NBC News, while men make up only 44%.

At the same time, a Trump campaign official, who wished to remain anonymous because they were not authorized to speak publicly, told NBC News that they remain “cautiously optimistic” about the race. Trump is helped by two-thirds of voters who say the country is heading in the wrong direction, persistent advantages in the economy and cost of living, and a rosy assessment of his presidency.

The NBC News poll puts Harris ahead by just 9 points among Latino voters (53%-44%), but the sample size is small and includes a larger margin of error than the overall poll.

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