When will this end? Landfall in Florida in November

The 2024 Atlantic hurricane season is an Atlantic hurricane season that most Floridians and their northern neighbors would rather forget.

For those who are just beginning the long road to recovery after a severe blow Hurricanes Helen And Miltonforgetting can take a long time.

Florida saw three hurricanes made landfall in the state this year, tying a record set in five other years.

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And hurricane season isn’t over yet.

AccuWeather said there is a high probability tropical depression or storm form in late October or early November in the Caribbean. The chances of it moving toward Florida are slim.

So how likely is another hurricane to hit Florida in the final month of the season?

This is what history tells us.

2024 sets a record with 3 hurricanes making landfall in Florida… so far

Hurricanes Debbie, Helen and Milton hit Florida in 2024.

This year is now tied with 1871, 1886, 1964, 2004 and 2005 for the most recorded hurricanes to make landfall in Florida in a single season, according to Philip Klotzbach, a meteorologist at Colorado State University who specializes in seasonal hurricane forecasts in the Atlantic Basin.

➤ WeatherTiger: Given the low chances of another strike in Florida, let’s answer a few questions.

➤ Tropics Clock, October 25: The National Hurricane Center is tracking three tropical waves. Depression and tropical storm possible next week

Hurricane Debbie:
- Landfall location: 7 a.m. Aug. 5 near Steinhatchee.
- Landfall Strength: Category 1, 80 mph sustained winds.
Hurricane Helen:
- landfall: 11:25 p.m., Sept. 26, near Perry.
- Force: Category 4, sustained winds of 140 mph.
Hurricane Milton:
- landfall: 8:30 p.m., Oct. 9, near Siesta Key.
- Force: Category 3, sustained winds of 120 mph.

When does hurricane season end?

The Atlantic hurricane season begins on June 1 and ends on November 30.

Countdown: How many days left until the end of Atlantic hurricane season?

Has a hurricane ever made landfall in Florida in November?

Yes. Since 1851, three hurricanes have struck Florida in November. In Florida we got:

Hurricane Nicole
- Landfall location: November 10, 2022, near Vero Beach.
- Strength: 75 mph
- Special Note: After production landfall Near Vero Beach, Nicole weakened to a tropical storm and made landfall again at Cedar Key and then again at the mouth of the Aucilla River in the Florida Panhandle, according to NOAA.
Hurricane Kate:
- Place of landfall: November 21, 1985, Mexico Beach.
- Strength: 100 mph
- Special Notes: “Kate remains the strongest storm to ever hit the U.S. in November,” Kotlowski said. Kate was also the last hurricane to make landfall in the United States in November. according to NOAA.
1935 Miami hurricane.
- Landfall: November 4, 1935, Miami.
- Strength: 100 mph
- Special note: It was nicknamed Yankee Hurricane at the time because it moved into Florida from the north, according to AccuWeather.

Why are November hurricanes unlikely?

“November is not known for its tropical activity.” said Dan Kottlowski, AccuWeather’s chief hurricane expert.

“The only opportunity for tropical development is in the southern Gulf of Mexico and over the Caribbean Sea. Even there, strong vertical wind shear can hamper tropical formation.”

Warm water is one of the factors that promotes the development of incipient tropical systems. This makes November hurricanes historically rare. This is changing.

“Since 1995, sea surface temperatures have averaged above normal throughout the Atlantic Basin until November, and the central Atlantic was no exception,” Kottlowski said.

Although rare, hurricanes do occur in November. This is where they come from

According to NOAA Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratorybetween 1851 and 2020, 50 hurricanes formed in November.

Tropical Storm Patty? Will Florida see another storm or hurricane?

AccuWeather forecasters are focusing their attention on the western and central Caribbean Sea, where the next tropical threat. There is an average chance of a tropical depression or storm forming in these waters in late October and early November.

“I know there will be showers and thunderstorms in this area next week. The issue is wind shear. If the wind shear is weak, which we expect, I think we will get a tropical depression or storm,” AccuWeather Chief said. On-air meteorologist Bernie Rayno said.

“Tropical storms that form in the area in late October and early November tend to move into Central America or possibly north-northeast toward Cuba, Hispaniola and the Bahamas,” AccuWeather senior meteorologist Alex Sosnowski said.

“However, a route to Florida or the southeastern mainland U.S. is out of the question at this early stage,” and residents of the southeastern U.S., as well as those in the Caribbean and Mexico are advised to keep an eye on the tropics and remain prepared.