Emerson/The Hill Swing State Presidential Election Poll: View Results

The latest Emerson College/The Hill state survey shows Republican Donald Trump And Democrat Kamala Harris enters a tight race for the White House as candidates jockey for victory in key battlegrounds.

The poll showed Harris leading in Michigan, while Trump had an advantage in Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Arizona. The candidates were statistically tied in Nevada and Wisconsin, although all polls were within each poll’s margin of error.

The conclusions were drawn against the background many national polls who continue to predict a race that is too close to predict. Meanwhile, It turns out Harris is leading Trump in Iowa.It’s a surprising turnaround in a state where both Democrats and Republicans believed Trump’s victory was all but certain.

As candidates race to the finish, Trump held a rally in North Carolina and then headed to Pennsylvania for two campaign stops before finishing the day in Michigan. Harris, meanwhile, will wrap up her campaign in Pennsylvania with rallies in Philadelphia and Pittsburgh followed by a concert in Allentown.

Emerson’s latest swing state survey shows close competition

Final swing state Emerson College Polling/The Hillreleased Monday, continue to forecast the race to end in seven states.

In Michigan, the poll of 790 people showed Harris with a two-point lead over former President Trump, 50% to 48%, with a margin of error of 3.4 percentage points.

The race is even held in Nevada and Wisconsin. The poll of 840 people showed a 48% tie in Nevada (with a margin of error of 3.3 percentage points), while 800 people polled in Wisconsin showed a deadlock between both candidates at 49% (with a margin of error of 3.4%).

Trump has a one-point lead in Georgia (50% to 49%), North Carolina (49% to 48%) and Pennsylvania (49% to 48%), where 800, 860 and 1,000 people were polled, respectively. These results were within each poll’s margin of error, which ranged from 3 percentage points to 3.4%.

In Arizona, a poll of 900 voters showed Trump leading Harris 50% to 48%, still within a 3.2% margin of error.

The surveys were conducted from Wednesday to Saturday.

New York Times/Siena Poll of 7 Battleground States Shows Harris’ Possible Path to Victory

The final list of surveys from The New York Times and Siena College were released on Sunday showing Harris ahead in Nevada, North Carolina, Wisconsin and Georgia. Trump and Harris were tied in Pennsylvania and Michigan, while Trump led in Arizona, although all results were within the margin of error.

The polls were conducted among likely voters between Oct. 24 and Nov. 2 and surveyed 7,879 likely voters in battleground states, with a margin of error of ±3.5% in each state.

What to consider when voting

The margin of error measures how accurately we can expect a survey’s results to be representative of the entire population.

According to the theory, when a candidate’s advantage is “within” the margin of error, it is considered a “statistical tie.” Pew Research Center.

Pugh also has found that most pollsters changed their methods after the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, in which Trump’s performance was significantly underestimated.

Assistance: James PowellUSA TODAY

Eric Lagatta covers the latest and trending news for USA TODAY. Contact him at [email protected].