Final polls show Donald Trump’s chances of losing Florida

Five days before Election Day, the final poll results in Florida are unlikely to waver. Donald TrumpUS confidence in victory in the Sunshine State, which has not voted for Democrats since 2012.

While republican candidate expected some backlash after a speaker at one of his New York rallies infamously compared Puerto Rico to a “floating island of garbage,” Trump appears to have maintained his slim lead Kamala Harris in Florida, according to a Cygnal poll that put him five points ahead of Harris.

The poll, conducted Oct. 26-28 and published in Florida Politics on Wednesday, covered last Sunday, when comedian and podcaster Tony Hinchcliffe made a racist joke in front of a stunned audience. The comment, which sparked outrage across the country, could have particularly serious consequences in Florida, which has the second-highest concentration of Puerto Rican voters (5.4 percent) behind Connecticut (7.9 percent), according to 2023 U.S. Census Bureau data compiled by Axios. .

Republican Senator in Florida Rick Scott and representatives Maria Elvira Salazar and Carlos Jimenez quickly condemned the comment created by comedian and podcaster Hinchcliffe, who The Trump campaign also distanced itself from.

But Trump emerged relatively unscathed from the unfortunate event as he maintains his lead among Puerto Ricans and other Latino voters in the Sunshine State, according to the Cygnal poll.

The poll gives him the support of 50 percent of Latino voters, an improvement from his 46 percent in 2020. But while he leads by 10 points among Hispanics, his lead shrinks to two points among Puerto Ricans.

Overall, the poll shows Trump leading Harris 48 percent to 43 percent. About 5 percent of likely voters are still undecided. The former president also has an edge among swing voters, with an estimated 35 percent support for him compared to 32 percent for Harris.

While polls remain in Trump’s favor, his lead in the Cygnal poll appears to have narrowed compared to weeks and months ago, and the gap between the two candidates has narrowed. But other polls released recently paint a much rosier picture for the former president.

Trump leads Harris in Florida 53 percent to 44 percent among likely voters (+9), according to the latest national poll from Florida Atlantic University’s Political Communication and Opinion Research Lab (PolCom Lab) and Mainstreet Research USA, released Tuesday.

The ActiVote poll of 400 likely voters between Oct. 11 and Oct. 27, released Monday, shows Trump leading Harris by 11.6 percent in the Sunshine State.