Iowa vs. UCLA: Predictions, picks, odds and best bet: FOX Friday Night Football

The UCLA Bruins are trying to turn around a rough first season in the Big Ten with back-to-back wins, but third place won’t be easy.

The Bruins are nearly underdogs tonight as the Iowa Hawkeyes fly west for Friday night’s game under the Rose Bowl lights. And this isn’t your big brother’s Hawkeyes, who have won three of their last four games and scored 40 or more points.

My Iowa vs. UCLA Predictions let’s say the defense we know and love will shine in this one, and I found a player prop to highlight mine college football picks for this Big Ten battle.

Prediction for the match Iowa – UCLA

My best choice
Ethan Garbers Under 225.5 passing yards (-115 at BetMGM)
Selections made at the time of writing may not reflect actual odds.

My analysis

The start of the season was not easy for the team. UCLA Bruinsbut they managed to snap their five-game losing streak by winning back-to-back games against Rutgers and Nebraska.

Unfortunately for Bruins fans, I expect the home team’s performance to drop to average on Friday night. Wins aside, the Bruins’ offense is a mess and they’re going to have a tough time dealing with it now. Iowa Hawkeyes protection.

UCLA enters this Big Ten matchup ranked 111th in scoring offense and 123rd in opponent yards per game. The Bruins aren’t getting anything out of the running game at this point either, and a lopsided game against the Hawkeyes is never a good thing.

That means quarterback Ethan Garbers has had to take the field, and, well, he’s only done so to a limited extent so far. The senior signal-caller has had some good games this season, but has been incredibly inconsistent and struggled against good defensive teams.

Overall, Garber threw for 1,703 yards on just 7.8 yards per attempt with 10 touchdowns and nine interceptions. But when you look at games against Indiana, Oregon and Nebraska, Garbers averaged just 158 ​​yards per game with two touchdowns and three picks.

He will now face a very good Iowa passing defense. The Hawkeyes come into this game as winners of three of their last four, and while the offense gets a lot of press (because it’s shocking that the Hawkeyes can score points these days), the defense continues to do its job as they… hold their positions. opponents to 16 points or less in each of those three wins.

Iowa enters this game ranked 12th in opponent tackle EPA and 40th in defensive tackle success rate. The Hawkeyes are allowing just 203.4 passing yards per game, while Garbers has a passing rate of 225.5 yards.

Iowa has allowed only one opposing quarterback to exceed that number in six conference games this season. I bet Garbers won’t be second.

Iowa Party vs. UCLA (SGP)

UCLA Team Total Under 17.5

Iowa -6.5

Jacob Gill Anytime TD

Ethan Garbers ‘Under’ passing yards are not a viable reference for SGP, so let’s just extrapolate that a bit and take UCLA to go under their team total.

In Iowa’s four Big Ten wins this season, they have held their opponents to 16 points or less. Prior to this two-game winning streak, UCLA had scored just 17 points or fewer in six straight games.

Next, let’s take Hawkeyes against the spread. I don’t believe the Bruins suddenly realized this after beating Nebraska and Rutgers. UCLA ranks 111th in scoring offense and 118th in scoring defense, facing an Iowa team that has one of the best defenses in the Big Ten.

And while UCLA is a poor pass defense, it may be even worse against the pass, ranking 119th in success rate against tackles. Brandon Sullivan is back in the Hawkeyes’ starting lineup at quarterback, and his favorite target appears to be Jacob Gill.

Gill is Iowa’s second-leading receiver (not that that’s saying much) with 21 catches for 198 yards and two scores, including last week’s game against Wisconsin. Let’s take it to find the end zone in this again.

Learn how to bet within the same game with these helpful tips and strategies.

Iowa vs. UCLA odds

Iowa vs UCLA live betting

Iowa vs. UCLA Opening Odds

• Iowa Spread vs. UCLA: UCLA +5.5
• Moneyline Iowa vs. UCLA: Iowa -205, UCLA +170
• Iowa vs UCLA Over/Under: 45.5

Odds courtesy of BetMGM

Iowa vs. UCLA Spread and Over/Under Analysis

• UCLA opened this Big Ten matchup as a 5.5-point home underdog, but that wasn’t enough for the Bruins to see action as the line shifted in Iowa’s favor and now sits at 6.5.
• Despite a tough season, UCLA has exceeded oddsmakers’ expectations, covering the spread in five of its last six games.
• The total was 45.5, and as of Friday morning the rate had been slightly lowered to 44.5.
• The unexpected uptick in Iowa’s offense has seen the Hawkeyes become one of the top teams in the country this season with an 8-1 O/U record.

Iowa vs. UCLA Betting Trends You Need to Know

UCLA has reached the 1H Moneyline in only four of its last 12 games, posting -9.40 units and a -46% ROI. Find more American Football Betting Trends for Iowa vs. UCLA.

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